Inside the Starmer foreign policy team trying to
survive in Trump’s world
By Dan Bloom and Esther Webber - "Politico"
LONDON - Keir Starmer is trying to manage Donald Trump
yet again. He has a long queue of people to tell him how.
As the British prime minister tries to navigate one of
the rockiest periods ever for the U.K.-U.S. special relationship, he is relying
on a wide cast of characters from experts to his friends — and adjusting,
reluctantly, to a world of hard power.
POLITICO spoke to 23 current and former U.K.
government aides and politicians, all of whom were granted anonymity to discuss
internal matters, to map out the network advising Starmer on foreign policy at
a time of rolling crisis. Each of them represents a different pressure on the
prime minister — who is still without a
permanent chief of staff.
As one government official put it: “It’s not who has
the PM’s ear — it’s who has the PM’s ear on what.”
The Powell supremacy
No one embodies Starmer’s desire to be a fixer on the
world stage more clearly than national security adviser Jonathan Powell, who
remains a dominant force nearly 18 months after taking the job. The private
feeling among some civil servants that he is
“the real foreign secretary” persists, even after Starmer appointed Yvette
Cooper as his second (actual) foreign secretary in September.
One U.K. government official said Powell is seen as
one of the sharpest operators in Starmer’s government and is used as a
troubleshooter by European allies.
One European diplomat said Powell, the veteran former
chief of staff to Tony Blair, “gives the direction” for No. 10 foreign policy.
A person in the U.K. security community added: “When I want to know something I
just pick up the phone to Jonathan Powell.”
Several people who have worked with Powell — who
helped shape the 1998 peace process in Northern Ireland — point to his skills
as a peacemaker above all. One former government official contrasted the
approaches of Powell and former No. 10 chief of staff Morgan McSweeney: “Morgan
would say it doesn’t matter if we piss these people
off. Jonathan would always be more considered.”
Powell was one of the handful of aides who joined
Starmer on his reassurance tour of Gulf nations last week, said a person with
knowledge of the trip. He negotiates on the PM’s behalf; in March he met
China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi, while in February he was spotted meeting
Trump’s special envoy Steve Witkoff in Geneva ahead of Russia-Ukraine talks.
In internal meetings, the same former official said,
“Jonathan would say things like ‘Witkoff won’t like that.’ His approach is that
there’s no reason to upset anyone unnecessarily — which is why Keir likes him,
because he is similar.” A long-serving Whitehall official described Powell as
being less about “concrete deliverables” and more about “keeping all sides
happy.”
The extraordinary scope of Powell’s role is rare for
an unelected political adviser. “People have been concerned about the
sustainability of the arrangement since the beginning,” said one person who
works with No. 10 on foreign policy. “He is essentially fulfilling the NSA
role, plus the chief foreign policy adviser role and the foreign secretary
role.”
His behind-the-scenes influence — No. 10 blocked MPs
from questioning him in public — has also raised eyebrows in some parts of
Whitehall, where officials can sometimes struggle to get full information out
of Downing Street. The first some senior figures knew of Powell’s recent China
trip was when Beijing released the photos.
As the world darkens and the Starmer-Trump
relationship frays, some wonder if the PM will need to reach beyond Powell’s
“peace lens,” as one official put it. Powell’s allies dismiss this as a
caricature, saying he is no pacifist and peace talks involve the hardest
trade-offs. But no one would doubt that the world has changed since the 1990s —
including Powell himself, who said similar publicly before entering government.
Olivia O’Sullivan, director of the UK in the World
Programme at Chatham House, a foreign affairs think tank, said: “In this
government you see a tendency to reach back to the time last time Labour was in
power, sometimes explicitly, for some of the same people, for guidance and
advice, and for, in some cases, roles. But of our foreign policy guardrails and
assumptions, most of the really important ones have
shifted since that era.”
The No. 10 team
Then there is the side of Starmer watching warily how
global affairs hit back home
The PM opted not to hire a separate foreign policy
chief to Powell in the style of John Bew, who held the role for several years
under the Conservatives alongside a separate NSA. Instead, a year ago he
appointed Henna Shah, who had worked on political campaigning and party
relations, to work on foreign policy reporting to Powell.
Shah advises Powell and Starmer on the political
implications of foreign policy back in Britain — an issue that has taken on a
new urgency. The PM has made his refusal to join the Iran war, and help in the
ensuing cost of living surge, a campaigning point in May elections. He has gone
from buttering up Trump to mentioning the U.S. president and Russia’s
Vladimir Putin in the same breath.
When Starmer approved limited U.S. use of British
bases during the Iran conflict, Shah and Darren Jones, the chief secretary to
the PM, spent the weekend ringing round to ensure the Cabinet was squared
behind the policy, said two people with knowledge of the calls. A third person
said her role also involves consulting with Starmer’s restless MPs, including
in a row over approval for a new Chinese embassy in London, and stakeholders
such as leaders in the Jewish community. “She is a doer — she knows how to get
things done,” the third person said.
Then there’s Starmer’s need to manage policy through
the British machine — as well as his desire to seek an economic relationship
with China.
Powell’s two civil service deputies — Matthew Collins,
who has advised No. 10 on national security issues since 2022, and Barbara
Woodward, who handles international affairs — are both heavily involved in
giving advice to the PM, in part because Powell’s sprawling brief spreads him
thinly.
Collins was singled out for praise by Starmer after he
was thrust into
the headlines by a collapsed court case against two British men
accused of spying for China. (Collins had given the government’s witness
statements.)
Woodward’s appointment in December caused little
fanfare, but she is making an impression. As Britain’s former envoy to China
and the United Nations, Woodward was in contention to lead the intelligence
agency MI6. One Whitehall official said her way of working is “very clinical”
and “excellent,” arguing she is underutilized. They said she would be just as
strong an NSA as Powell.
One of Woodward’s first tasks in No. 10 was helping
finalize Starmer’s visit to China — which only got the final green light from
Beijing after London had approved its new embassy. Despite some Conservatives
suggesting she was not hard enough on China, “I’ve never thought of her that
way,” the same official said. “She’s quite hawkish.”
Another senior figure in No. 10 is Ailsa Terry, the
PM’s private secretary for foreign affairs and a former high commissioner to
Malaysia. One person who has worked with the civil servant described her work
ethic as Stakhanovite and said she knows how to make Whitehall move.
Whispering to MAGA
All the while, Starmer wants his administration to
keep whispering to MAGA — despite the stream of invective from the White House.
As the president becomes more erratic, Downing Street officials have relied on
other bilateral relationships.
One of those conduits is Varun Chandra, the
smooth-talking Downing Street business adviser. The political appointee
narrowly missed out on the job of U.K. ambassador to Washington — which went to
a civil service lifer, Christian Turner — and instead bagged the Trump-style
title of special envoy to the United States on trade and investment.
Chandra has met Trump’s Commerce Secretary Howard
Lutnick and negotiates on Starmer’s behalf on trade deals and pharmaceuticals.
That, in turn, has set him up as a general line to the Trump administration in
the way that former Ambassador Peter Mandelson was designed to be, before he
resigned over his friendship with the convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.
“Don’t underestimate Varun,” said one official. “He’s
a very influential figure and Keir really likes him,”
said another. A third added: “Christian [Turner] is doing a good job out there,
but with Varun breathing down his neck all the time.”
Ex-Foreign Secretary David Lammy also keeps up a line
to MAGA-land through the relationship he cultivated in opposition with Vice
President JD Vance. Lammy met Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio in
Washington, D.C. on Monday. A government official said his friendship with
Vance — which has included joint trips to take mass — is an “effective
channel.” As deputy prime minister, liaising with vice presidents has become
part of Lammy’s official job description.
Relations between Lammy and No. 10 have not always
been smooth. It was widely reported that he voiced doubts about the decision to
appoint Mandelson. The Foreign Office and No. 10 also clashed in late 2024 over
demands from Caribbean nations for slavery reparations during a Commonwealth
summit. Three people recalled Lammy objecting to No. 10’s insistence that
reparations were not on the table, when other nations would clearly bring them
up anyway.
Others in the foreign policy world have suggested
Lammy’s pitch in the run-up to the 2024 election was lacking in detail. One
government official said: “David Lammy’s foreign policy was entirely pegged on
the phrase ‘progressive realism’ — I’m not sure what else it offered.” (Allies
of Lammy reject this, pointing out that Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney has
since laid out a similar doctrine of “principled pragmatism.”)
Lammy was replaced as foreign secretary in September
with Yvette Cooper, a party veteran who spent years on the front bench under
Starmer in charge of home affairs. The two politicians are not personally
close, but this year Cooper has had occasional cups of tea with Starmer and they talk on the phone privately at least once a
week. “Sometimes they just want to clarify their thoughts,” said a person with
knowledge of the conversations. She also meets Powell regularly, two officials
added.
Cooper also keeps up her own direct line to the Trump
administration, chatting to Rubio on Signal. As Britain’s top diplomat,
Cooper’s words make clear the stark differences with the U.S. over the approach
to Iran. She has called for a “containment plan” that would halt Tehran’s
nuclear ambitions without wiping out the regime. Trump attempted the latter.
On the other hand, the deep state-to-state ties
between the U.K. and U.S. have not broken — even though the Iran conflict has
put them under strain. Talks on many trade and security issues continue
quietly. Trump is said to be less hostile to Britain in private phone calls
with Starmer than he is on Truth Social.
When so much foreign policy is channeled
through the prime minister and his team, there are inevitable questions in
Whitehall about where that leaves the role of foreign secretary. “Of course,
she’ll be influential, she’ll be in the room,” said one person who speaks
regularly to No. 10. “But is she the person that he spontaneously rings when
he’s got a random thought at 10:30 p.m.? No, that will be Jonathan Powell.”
Cooper has freer rein on foreign policy issues that
Starmer has not deemed a personal priority. She has pushed for a ceasefire in
war-ravaged Sudan. Britain’s help for poorer nations has also been diminished,
though, by cuts to foreign aid, which Starmer announced in
order to fund a boost in defense spending.
Concerns about defense and
security are growing in No. 10. Starmer told February’s Munich Security
Conference that hard power is now “the currency of the age” — a phrase
that has since been deliberately echoed by his Defence Secretary John
Healey.
But pressure is mounting on Starmer from military
chiefs and political opponents to spell out a more detailed timetable for his defense spending boost. A 10-year defense
investment plan was originally due before Christmas but has still not arrived.
Healey is a key embodiment of this tilt toward defense. “I know it’s [the] highest priority for [Starmer]
as it is for me,” he told an audience of security officials last week. A “quad”
of senior figures — Starmer, Powell, Healey and Cooper — have hung back after
some wider meetings amid the Iran crisis, said two people with knowledge of the
talks. One said Chancellor Rachel Reeves, with whom defense
officials are grappling for cash, has been present for similar
get-togethers.
Starmer the lawyer
Then there is Starmer the human rights lawyer — and in
this he has no greater proxy than Attorney General Richard Hermer, a close
friend from his days as a young barrister.
One person close to No. 10 said: “Hermer is very, very
important, not just because he understands international law, but because he
understands the essence of Keir Starmer better than anyone else in the Cabinet.
He is the closest thing Keir’s got to a friend in the Cabinet.”
Two government officials said Hermer regularly visits
Starmer for private conversations — about politics, strategy, family or just
old times. “He and Keir just chat,” said one. “They share ideas.”
Hermer was a rare direct appointment to the Cabinet
from outside politics in 2024. He tried to keep a low profile at first, but has decided to be more outspoken after relentless
attacks from the right. In March he gave a speech rejecting the notion that the
world’s rules “are written by the strong.” He added: “Like Keir, I believe
human rights and international law are forces for good and need to be
defended.”
All this means Hermer is credited — or blamed — for a
long line of government policies, from the decision to hand sovereignty of the
Chagos Islands to Mauritius (now in limbo due to Trump’s objections) to the
decision to grant only limited access to Britain’s air bases for U.S. jets
flying to Iran.
“He is unbelievably influential,” said the person who
works with No. 10 on foreign policy, quoted earlier in this article. “He was
one of the key driving forces in the dithering over the initial response to the
U.S. request for the bases.”
Hermer is unable to challenge many claims about his
involvement because of the law officers’ convention, which stops ministers
revealing whether they have sought legal advice in all but exceptional
circumstances.
But the mere fact that Starmer relies on his strict
legal advice when it comes means that when war rages in the Middle East,
Hermer’s work will be significant.
One former No. 10 aide under Starmer argued there was
a divergence within Downing Street on the role of international law; “not
whether you believe in it or not, but your purism” about following it to the
letter. The same person put McSweeney and Mandelson — who have both now left
Starmer’s operation — on the opposite side of that debate from Hermer, and
Powell somewhere in the middle.
I love EU
Hermer is part of another category of person advising
the PM — his friends.
Stuart Ingham, one of Starmer’s longest-serving aides,
also advises him on foreign policy, said three people with knowledge of the
conversations. Described by one official as “cerebral” and by another as “the
last remaining constant” from Starmer’s days in opposition, Ingham took up an
offer to remain in No. 10 despite a staff overhaul in September.
Now “senior counsel” to the PM, Ingham has become
“Keir’s ears here and there,” said one person who knows him. This includes on
foreign policy — particularly Europe. (Ingham and Starmer toiled away on
obscure policy when Starmer was shadow Brexit
secretary in the 2010s.) Ingham accompanied the PM on his February trip to the
Munich Security Conference.
Starmer’s tilt to Europe is becoming clearer all the
time, guided and encouraged by another personal friend
of the PM; Nick Thomas-Symonds, the minister for EU relations, who is
negotiating his “reset” with the EU. The pair catch up every couple of months
to discuss politics, sometimes over breakfast.
Starmer was already ramping up his messaging about
aligning with the EU before the Iran war struck. The government was also
elevating the “E3” alliance with France and Germany to a greater significance.
Some of Labour’s own aides have been on a journey too; two who recently left,
Paul Ovenden and Ben Judah, have both advocated a “Gaullism” in which Britain
loosens its reliance on the U.S.
Other Cabinet ministers, less close to Starmer
personally than Hermer or Thomas-Symonds, have their say too.
Starmer’s Chief Secretary Darren Jones has been one
internal voice enthusiastic about closer relations with the EU, said one person
with knowledge of the conversations.
And three people with knowledge of his visits said
Douglas Alexander, the Scotland secretary who has long harbored
ambitions to work on foreign policy, has recently been going for beers with the
prime minister. As one official put it: “The thing that gets Douglas out of bed
is foreign policy.”
Too many cooks?
A range of voices can be a good thing. Sophia Gaston,
a senior research fellow at the Centre for Statecraft and National Security at
King’s College London, said: “Britain needs a deep bench that includes people
who can think about wider global dynamics, and with strong skill sets in
negotiation and diplomacy, as well as people who are willing to fight tooth and
nail in the national interest in a much stronger frame of competition.”
But it also means that thinking ends up fragmented
across government, said the long-serving Whitehall official quoted above.
“Foreign policy is not the most coherent under Starmer,” they argued. “No one
is bringing our priorities together in a distinct way or managing people going
up against each other.”
Some Labour government aides insist there has been a
shift.
One said there is now “more of an explicit focus on
the British national interest and a bit more pride about that.” Another said
this has come through in the No. 10-supplied briefings for Cabinet ministers
when they appear on TV. “Our lines are much clearer about what we would say is
intolerable,” they said. “There is greater licence to make clear where we
disagree [with Trump].”
But for all the hardening of Starmer’s language,
several other aides point out that Starmer’s overall foreign policy — to
present himself as a critical friend of the U.S. and a partner to practically
everyone, even China — has not changed.
Starmer has neither made a sweeping shake-up to his
foreign policy team nor his 8:45 a.m. meeting in Downing Street. Wrangling
continues over an overdue defense spending plan.
While politicians in Brussels want to overhaul the EU’s entire decision-making
architecture, the British state’s vibe is to keep calm and carry on.
The person who speaks regularly to No. 10, quoted
earlier in this article, said of Starmer: “It’s not him breaking free or
unleashing.
“It’s all very him. He’s played the game. He’s built
the relationship … but at the end of the day, Trump’s actions are not good for
Britain, and so he is calling it out.”
***
(Report by Dan Bloom and Esther Webber - www.politico.eu)